Showing posts with label Moral Hazard. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Moral Hazard. Show all posts
Monday, October 3, 2011
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Regulating Enterprise
Regulating Enterprise
by Alex Merced
Time and time again we hear in the news that we need stronger regulation on Oil, Housing, and Banking to prevent all the problems we've seen over the last few years. Today, I'd like to make the argument that the problems with all three of these sectors has everything to do with government intervention in the market and that the best regulation would be the natural regulation of natural risk in the markets. In the name of populism much of this natural risk has been removed from these enterprises in the name of "promoting business", "job creation", and "economic growth".
The initial problem with this rhetoric is that growth is always good, so rushing growth or artificial growth must be good too. For example, if I want to bulk up quicker I could begin to take steroids, although while that is growth it's not sustainable since I haven't built the discipline and lifestyle needed to maintain that bulk, so I become dependent on the steroids to maintain it.
So let's take a look at three types of natural risk that effect the entrepreneur when they are making the decision to enter an enterprise, and on how to run the enterprise. We'll see that these policies remove the aforementioned risks and like steroids prevent the kind of discipline needed to create sustainable businesses and growth.
Risk # 1 - The Ability to Raise Capital
Arguably, if an entrepreneur can't raise the money then he may never start the enterprise at all. Why would raising capital be difficult? This could be for a variety of reasons that all have to deal with he viability of the business and if potential investors/lenders see a demand for product/service, are the potential liabilities addressed, are the margins too thin, is it profitable in the short term? If government were to intervene to make capital easier to raise for such enterprises, it's easy to see how more of them would exist despite these typical investor concerns.
Oil - Oil is a very difficult business without government aid, because investors aren't typically very optimistic about the chances of finding oil when doing exploratory drilling. So to encourage investment into oil in the 60's and 70's tax shelters were created for oil investment in the form of Direct Participation Programs, and during a time of 70% tax rates one can see how a tax haven can be quite a benefit, you'd actually profit from the tax savings alone. So capital was being sucked into oil cause of the tax benefits, not cause of the merit of the enterprise... actually you'd lose money if they found oil cause it'd create a paper gain which you'd pay taxes on. So the capital raising issue was now done away with for Oil drilling at the expense of driving capital away from technology, medicine, alternative fuels that would've meant that the BP spill might've never happened cause the oil rig would've never been there since we would have divested from oil long ago.
Banking - Banks can be a risky proposition with tight margins. The problems being if the bank takes too much risk then depositors begin to take money out to move it to a safer bank, which would cause a bank run since banks don't have enough money to cover all their deposits in the FRACTIONAL RESERVE banking system we have now. On the other hand, if they practice safer banking practices and keep their depositors then their margins are very low and the growth of the company is low which is not what investors want to hear. So if we could prevent investors from worrying about risk that the banks taking, then the bank take on the risk necessary to get all the investment they need, so FDIC/SIPC are born. By creating a mandatory deposit insurance depositors feel at ease and become less concerned with moving their deposits, allowing banks with those deposits to get bigger and bigger by taking on more risk, while making hard and near impossible for newer banks to compete for those deposits without taking more risk as well.
Housing - Houses are a great investment but a house can take a long time to turn over, especially these days. If you factor in all the maintenance costs it can require a lot of upfront capital and not much in return in the mean time. Countless institutions were created to encourage investment in housing:
- Fannie and Freddie were created to buy mortgages from banks, so banks could keep making more and more mortgages which solves the demand/turnover issue that made investment in development weary.
- Housing which by all means is a capital good doesn't get taxes as a capital gain when sold for a profit, maximizing it's after-tax return versus stocks or bonds which are more liquid.
- REITS which are just real estate company shares get special Subchapter M tax treatment getting the same tax exemptions that mutual funds get.
- Mortgage Tax Credit
- Tax Shelters like the ones created for oil were created for housing, which actually allowed you invest non-recourse loans (loans in which they CAN'T garnish your wages or repossess your assets if you don't pay)
... a lot lot more...
Risk # 2 - Liabilities
Liability is a huge issue to any investor or entrepreneur, the more likely the chances of being sued or a disaster occurring that would incur lots of liabilities the less appetizing the reward becomes versus the risk. So if the liabilities aren't mitigated through government intervention, needless to say a lot of these risks would drive entrepreneurs and investors to more safe sustainable ventures where they can make a similar return. Even if the if they do decide to go into the enterprise, liability will keep the entrepreneur disciplined or else lose his hard work and more.
Oil - Everyone has heard about the liability cap set on Oil companies, on top of it you had tax incentives to drill farther off shore then drilling on shore (less royalties needed to be paid the father out you drilled) which combined makes the risk/reward calculation on drilling offshore a no brainer.
Banking - Once again you had very huge liability in the case that a risky investment didn't pan out, or if depositors suddenly began withdrawing money despite the the cover of FDIC. To prevent the liability of these scenarios the Federal Reserve was created as the lender of last resort, originally created in 1913 to address problems from severe branching regulations in the early 1900's. So with FDIC and keeping depositors feeling safe and the Federal Reserve coming to the rescue when excessive risk catches up with the banks... owning a bank is great idea, especially since it's the bankers who are the entry point of new highly powered money.
Housing - The major liability in investing in housing is well... not being able to sell the house or the person you lend to not making their mortgage payments. Fannie and Freddie combined with loose monetary policy from the fed really fed the demand so that these houses were more liquid and that mortgages could be affordable to the least qualified of borrowers. If you don't have to worry about these factors well... then why not invest in housing.
Risk #3 - Attracting Talent
In order to grow a large and ever growing enterprise one must attract the talent to do so. The problem if your business isn't very sustainable cause of excessive liabilities or low margins then compensation becomes difficult to afford for good talent. Also, the best talent seeks to be somewhere that the job seems safe and secure so if you decide to run a high risk business this may detract talent cause the risk of unemployment becomes to penalizing and the cost of private unemployment insurance would lower your wages you'd make more paying a much smaller premium for a safer company. In this Free Market environment the best talent would gravitate towards sustainable enterprise unless government reduces the risk of working for risky unsustainable enterprise.
For All Industries - Government Mandated Unemployment insurances creates non-variable cost for working for anyone, so it doesn't matter how safe the job is the payment into unemployment is the same, so then you might as well work for the high risk taking high salary company. Worse comes to worse you will not get a fraction of a larger salary for the next 6 months, so you get rewards for taking the riskier job since you benefits key into what you made before becoming unemployed.
Conclusion
If the government makes it easier for capital to gravitate towards riskier business, makes it easier to take more risk without incurring large liabilities, and allows these firms to easily make grabs at all the greatest talent around the globe... what do you expect to happen? Overpriced Housing, Overleveraged Banks, Oil Spills
Greed is not alone powerful enough to cause these kinds of problems, but with the helping hand of government big business can have all the roadblocks removed from becoming... "too big to fail" or better put "too big to succeed"
by Alex Merced
Time and time again we hear in the news that we need stronger regulation on Oil, Housing, and Banking to prevent all the problems we've seen over the last few years. Today, I'd like to make the argument that the problems with all three of these sectors has everything to do with government intervention in the market and that the best regulation would be the natural regulation of natural risk in the markets. In the name of populism much of this natural risk has been removed from these enterprises in the name of "promoting business", "job creation", and "economic growth".
The initial problem with this rhetoric is that growth is always good, so rushing growth or artificial growth must be good too. For example, if I want to bulk up quicker I could begin to take steroids, although while that is growth it's not sustainable since I haven't built the discipline and lifestyle needed to maintain that bulk, so I become dependent on the steroids to maintain it.
So let's take a look at three types of natural risk that effect the entrepreneur when they are making the decision to enter an enterprise, and on how to run the enterprise. We'll see that these policies remove the aforementioned risks and like steroids prevent the kind of discipline needed to create sustainable businesses and growth.
Risk # 1 - The Ability to Raise Capital
Arguably, if an entrepreneur can't raise the money then he may never start the enterprise at all. Why would raising capital be difficult? This could be for a variety of reasons that all have to deal with he viability of the business and if potential investors/lenders see a demand for product/service, are the potential liabilities addressed, are the margins too thin, is it profitable in the short term? If government were to intervene to make capital easier to raise for such enterprises, it's easy to see how more of them would exist despite these typical investor concerns.
Oil - Oil is a very difficult business without government aid, because investors aren't typically very optimistic about the chances of finding oil when doing exploratory drilling. So to encourage investment into oil in the 60's and 70's tax shelters were created for oil investment in the form of Direct Participation Programs, and during a time of 70% tax rates one can see how a tax haven can be quite a benefit, you'd actually profit from the tax savings alone. So capital was being sucked into oil cause of the tax benefits, not cause of the merit of the enterprise... actually you'd lose money if they found oil cause it'd create a paper gain which you'd pay taxes on. So the capital raising issue was now done away with for Oil drilling at the expense of driving capital away from technology, medicine, alternative fuels that would've meant that the BP spill might've never happened cause the oil rig would've never been there since we would have divested from oil long ago.
Banking - Banks can be a risky proposition with tight margins. The problems being if the bank takes too much risk then depositors begin to take money out to move it to a safer bank, which would cause a bank run since banks don't have enough money to cover all their deposits in the FRACTIONAL RESERVE banking system we have now. On the other hand, if they practice safer banking practices and keep their depositors then their margins are very low and the growth of the company is low which is not what investors want to hear. So if we could prevent investors from worrying about risk that the banks taking, then the bank take on the risk necessary to get all the investment they need, so FDIC/SIPC are born. By creating a mandatory deposit insurance depositors feel at ease and become less concerned with moving their deposits, allowing banks with those deposits to get bigger and bigger by taking on more risk, while making hard and near impossible for newer banks to compete for those deposits without taking more risk as well.
Housing - Houses are a great investment but a house can take a long time to turn over, especially these days. If you factor in all the maintenance costs it can require a lot of upfront capital and not much in return in the mean time. Countless institutions were created to encourage investment in housing:
- Fannie and Freddie were created to buy mortgages from banks, so banks could keep making more and more mortgages which solves the demand/turnover issue that made investment in development weary.
- Housing which by all means is a capital good doesn't get taxes as a capital gain when sold for a profit, maximizing it's after-tax return versus stocks or bonds which are more liquid.
- REITS which are just real estate company shares get special Subchapter M tax treatment getting the same tax exemptions that mutual funds get.
- Mortgage Tax Credit
- Tax Shelters like the ones created for oil were created for housing, which actually allowed you invest non-recourse loans (loans in which they CAN'T garnish your wages or repossess your assets if you don't pay)
... a lot lot more...
Risk # 2 - Liabilities
Liability is a huge issue to any investor or entrepreneur, the more likely the chances of being sued or a disaster occurring that would incur lots of liabilities the less appetizing the reward becomes versus the risk. So if the liabilities aren't mitigated through government intervention, needless to say a lot of these risks would drive entrepreneurs and investors to more safe sustainable ventures where they can make a similar return. Even if the if they do decide to go into the enterprise, liability will keep the entrepreneur disciplined or else lose his hard work and more.
Oil - Everyone has heard about the liability cap set on Oil companies, on top of it you had tax incentives to drill farther off shore then drilling on shore (less royalties needed to be paid the father out you drilled) which combined makes the risk/reward calculation on drilling offshore a no brainer.
Banking - Once again you had very huge liability in the case that a risky investment didn't pan out, or if depositors suddenly began withdrawing money despite the the cover of FDIC. To prevent the liability of these scenarios the Federal Reserve was created as the lender of last resort, originally created in 1913 to address problems from severe branching regulations in the early 1900's. So with FDIC and keeping depositors feeling safe and the Federal Reserve coming to the rescue when excessive risk catches up with the banks... owning a bank is great idea, especially since it's the bankers who are the entry point of new highly powered money.
Housing - The major liability in investing in housing is well... not being able to sell the house or the person you lend to not making their mortgage payments. Fannie and Freddie combined with loose monetary policy from the fed really fed the demand so that these houses were more liquid and that mortgages could be affordable to the least qualified of borrowers. If you don't have to worry about these factors well... then why not invest in housing.
Risk #3 - Attracting Talent
In order to grow a large and ever growing enterprise one must attract the talent to do so. The problem if your business isn't very sustainable cause of excessive liabilities or low margins then compensation becomes difficult to afford for good talent. Also, the best talent seeks to be somewhere that the job seems safe and secure so if you decide to run a high risk business this may detract talent cause the risk of unemployment becomes to penalizing and the cost of private unemployment insurance would lower your wages you'd make more paying a much smaller premium for a safer company. In this Free Market environment the best talent would gravitate towards sustainable enterprise unless government reduces the risk of working for risky unsustainable enterprise.
For All Industries - Government Mandated Unemployment insurances creates non-variable cost for working for anyone, so it doesn't matter how safe the job is the payment into unemployment is the same, so then you might as well work for the high risk taking high salary company. Worse comes to worse you will not get a fraction of a larger salary for the next 6 months, so you get rewards for taking the riskier job since you benefits key into what you made before becoming unemployed.
Conclusion
If the government makes it easier for capital to gravitate towards riskier business, makes it easier to take more risk without incurring large liabilities, and allows these firms to easily make grabs at all the greatest talent around the globe... what do you expect to happen? Overpriced Housing, Overleveraged Banks, Oil Spills
Greed is not alone powerful enough to cause these kinds of problems, but with the helping hand of government big business can have all the roadblocks removed from becoming... "too big to fail" or better put "too big to succeed"
Labels:
Central Banks,
Enterprise,
Fannie,
FDIC,
Federal Reserve,
Freddie,
Housing,
Liability,
Moral Hazard,
Oil,
Real Estate,
Risk,
SIPC,
Subsidies,
Taxes,
Unemployment
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
C Corporations and Moral Hazard
C Corporations and Moral Hazard
By Alex Merced
When confronting todays economics problems one thing we can agree across philosophies, theories, and economic frameworks is that Moral Hazard is rampant in the current system. The question then becomes how do you eliminate the moral hazard to return more realistic expectations in economic calculation.
The mainstream view on the left and right is that this moral hazard is created by "irrational" behavior cause by "too much" capitalism, so regulation must be enacted to reform this behavior and bring transparency to the market. As far as to handle the regulation issue, I've discussed how free market regulation can exist.
Now to Austrian Economics aficionados like myself usually take a different approach and believe that this moral hazard took generations of distorting economic calculation to create. This has been done via institutions like the federal reserve, IRS, and FDIC. Although I take it a step farther and say that the modern legal corporate structure is fundamentally flawed to a free market working, cause it separates or moves liability from two major players in enterprise, the executives running the enterprise and the Shareholders.
So let's see the effects...
Shareholders: Since Shareholders in a C Corporations have no direct legal liability or tax liability by virtue of ownership of these shares it makes disposing of these securities a decision made with very little cost except the opportunity cost of future gains that weren't realized if they continued to hold the shares. This makes the shareholder willing to sell the shares at a moment notice when the price goes up, and makes the value of company in itself in the long term a very slight consideration. Unlike this, Limited Partnership shares still separate legal liability as a Limited Partner but you retain the tax liability and you can't just dump the shares at a moments notice, this incentive creates a culture where investors do their due diligence and are concerned about the long term outlook of the company in case it takes time to find a buyer of the share.
Executives of Company: The executives and the Board of Directors are beholden to the shareholders... yet the make up of the shareholders is constantly changing due to shareholders having such a short time horizon as explained above. If the shareholders are not pleased with the short term returns from their investment, they can pressure the removal and change of these executives. Although if the company is built on unsustainable policies for short term growth, the executive doesn't own the capital in the enterprise so the concern of losing their position is a greater incentive to not change these policies to something sustainable. In a limited partnership the General Partner runs the company and must have a 1% interest in the company itself creating a dual incentive since their own capital is tied up in the venture and they have unlimited liability. While they are still beholden to the limited partner, the limited partners do have an interest in sustainable corporate governance because of the liquidity of their investment.
So essentially the C Corporation has opened a greater array of investors to the capital markets, but at the cost of moral hazard and short term thinking that results from the "Liquidity" of these investments. What I conclude is that if we're going to have a more SUSTAINABLE foundation and capital structure we need more active people running these enterprises, meaning they need more active investors which will never happen with the current C Corporation structure of liability. While some advocate creating artificial liability in the C Corp, why bother when you already have a business structure proven to create more sustainable businesses in the Limited Partnership.
Bottom Line, abolish the C Corporation.
By Alex Merced
When confronting todays economics problems one thing we can agree across philosophies, theories, and economic frameworks is that Moral Hazard is rampant in the current system. The question then becomes how do you eliminate the moral hazard to return more realistic expectations in economic calculation.
The mainstream view on the left and right is that this moral hazard is created by "irrational" behavior cause by "too much" capitalism, so regulation must be enacted to reform this behavior and bring transparency to the market. As far as to handle the regulation issue, I've discussed how free market regulation can exist.
Now to Austrian Economics aficionados like myself usually take a different approach and believe that this moral hazard took generations of distorting economic calculation to create. This has been done via institutions like the federal reserve, IRS, and FDIC. Although I take it a step farther and say that the modern legal corporate structure is fundamentally flawed to a free market working, cause it separates or moves liability from two major players in enterprise, the executives running the enterprise and the Shareholders.
So let's see the effects...
Shareholders: Since Shareholders in a C Corporations have no direct legal liability or tax liability by virtue of ownership of these shares it makes disposing of these securities a decision made with very little cost except the opportunity cost of future gains that weren't realized if they continued to hold the shares. This makes the shareholder willing to sell the shares at a moment notice when the price goes up, and makes the value of company in itself in the long term a very slight consideration. Unlike this, Limited Partnership shares still separate legal liability as a Limited Partner but you retain the tax liability and you can't just dump the shares at a moments notice, this incentive creates a culture where investors do their due diligence and are concerned about the long term outlook of the company in case it takes time to find a buyer of the share.
Executives of Company: The executives and the Board of Directors are beholden to the shareholders... yet the make up of the shareholders is constantly changing due to shareholders having such a short time horizon as explained above. If the shareholders are not pleased with the short term returns from their investment, they can pressure the removal and change of these executives. Although if the company is built on unsustainable policies for short term growth, the executive doesn't own the capital in the enterprise so the concern of losing their position is a greater incentive to not change these policies to something sustainable. In a limited partnership the General Partner runs the company and must have a 1% interest in the company itself creating a dual incentive since their own capital is tied up in the venture and they have unlimited liability. While they are still beholden to the limited partner, the limited partners do have an interest in sustainable corporate governance because of the liquidity of their investment.
So essentially the C Corporation has opened a greater array of investors to the capital markets, but at the cost of moral hazard and short term thinking that results from the "Liquidity" of these investments. What I conclude is that if we're going to have a more SUSTAINABLE foundation and capital structure we need more active people running these enterprises, meaning they need more active investors which will never happen with the current C Corporation structure of liability. While some advocate creating artificial liability in the C Corp, why bother when you already have a business structure proven to create more sustainable businesses in the Limited Partnership.
Bottom Line, abolish the C Corporation.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Best Explanation of the Financial Crisis Yet
This video not only nails on the head several economic concepts, but very accuratley retells the story of the financial crisis spread this video around!!!
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